Future Homes Standard and the evolution of SAP: preparing for Part L 2025

Darren Evans
September 24, 2025

The UK’s Future Homes Standard (FHS) will reshape the way houses are designed and constructed. The objective is simple on paper but demanding in practice: new homes built from 2025 must emit 75–80 % less CO₂ than homes built to the 2013 regulations. To achieve that reduction, fossil‑fuel boilers will give way to electric‑led systems, buildings will need much tighter fabric performance and renewable technologies will become the norm. This represents a significant change from previous standards, especially with the transition from the Standard Assessment Procedure (SAP) to the Home Energy Model (HEM) for assessing home energy performance in line with upcoming regulations. Planning for these changes requires more than a last‑minute swap from gas to heat pumps; it demands early design thinking, better data and careful balancing of cost versus carbon.

Below is a guide to what’s changing under Part L 2025, including how the Standard Assessment Procedure (SAP) is evolving into the Future Homes Standard (FHS) and the Home Energy Model (HEM) and what developers, architects, and energy consultants should be doing now. Where relevant, links to Darren Evans’ services and resources have been provided to help you navigate the transition. These changes are significant, and the housebuilding sector will need time to adapt.

Overview of the Future Homes Standard

  • Carbon target. The FHS will require new homes to reduce regulated carbon emissions by at least 75 % vs 2013 regulations which is around 50% over current regulations. These targets apply to all new buildings and are designed to reduce carbon emissions beyond current standards. This is a huge step up from the 31 % reduction introduced by Part L 2021.
  • Low‑carbon heat. From 2025, new homes will no longer be permitted to connect to the gas network, and gas boilers will be phased out. This shift, part of the Future Homes Standard, is designed to accelerate the transition to low-carbon heating solutions. Air source and ground source heat pumps are expected to become the standard for most new homes. In urban areas like London, some flats may connect to existing district heat networks (DHNs), but this won’t be the case for low-rise developments or locations without DHN infrastructure, meaning alternative low-carbon systems will be needed
  • Improved fabric performance. While many of the fabric standards from Part L 2021 remain, the Future Homes Standard tightens requirements around airtightness by lowering the target air permeability. It also places greater emphasis on reducing thermal bridging and achieving lower U-values for walls, floors, roofs, windows, and doors — all aimed at improving energy efficiency. However, fabric improvements alone won’t be enough to meet the 75% emissions reduction target. Solar PV is expected to become a key requirement (supported by the "Sunshine Bill"), while technologies like waste water heat recovery (WWHR) may feature in the notional specification but are unlikely to be mandatory.
  • Energy‑efficient ventilation. To maintain indoor air quality while reducing heat loss, mechanical ventilation systems such as MEV, DMEV, and MVHR are likely to play a growing role in new homes. While the Future Homes Standard doesn’t explicitly promote one type of system, tighter airtightness targets and updated Part F requirements are expected to increase the demand for more effective and energy-efficient ventilation strategies.

SAP 10, and the Home Energy Model (HEM)

Why SAP is evolving

The Standard Assessment Procedure (SAP) has been the UK’s official method for assessing a home’s energy use and carbon emissions for decades. It underpins compliance with energy regulations and supports certification processes.

While SAP 10.2 is currently in use in both England and Wales, the Future Homes Standard consultation outlines a transition to SAP 10.3 as an interim update ahead of a more significant shift to the new Home Energy Model (HEM).

This evolution reflects the need for more accurate, responsive modelling in line with net zero targets. HEM will introduce half-hourly energy profiles, improved appliance efficiency data, and more detailed inputs for systems such as pipework and ducting offering a much closer representation of how homes perform in real life.

We predict the response to the Part L consultation will be published in summer 2025, legislation will be laid before Parliament in December 2025, and both SAP 10.3 and the Home Energy Model will become available to support compliance during 2026. These tools will be used for energy assessments, demonstrating compliance with the Future Homes Standard, and achieving energy performance goals for new homes. There will then be a 12‑month transitional period from December 2026 to December 2027 before full enforcement begins in January 2028. Projects that register plots before December 2026 and start on site by December 2027 can follow Part L 2021, but any plots registered from January 2027 must comply with the FHS.

The Home Energy Model will play a key role in assessing energy performance and supporting compliance with building regulations. It will be used during design and planning stages to inform energy assessments and help demonstrate alignment with the Future Homes Standard.

What will the Home Energy Model (HEM) change and why it matters

The Home Energy Model (HEM) underpins the Future Homes Standard (FHS) and will reshape how design teams demonstrate sustainability in construction, energy performance and compliance. Below is an overview of what’s changing and what it means for architects, developers and M&E leads.

1) Heat pumps become the baseline with two notional routes

Under the FHS consultation, compliance for new dwellings references two main notional options (non–heat-network):

  • Option 1: air-source heat pump + WWHR (waste-water heat recovery) + solar PV (PV not applied to blocks over 15 storeys).
  • Option 2: air-source heat pump only (no PV/WWHR in the notional).
    This sets electrification as the standard pathway; gas is not the reference case.

Why it matters: Early selection of ASHPs, space planning for hot-water storage, and roof strategy for PV (especially low–mid-rise) become integral to concept design, not late-stage bolt-ons.

2) Updated emissions & primary energy factors shift design choices

HEM uses new emissions factors that reflect a lower-carbon grid (e.g., electricity 0.086 kgCO₂e/kWh; mains gas ~0.214 kgCO₂e/kWh). This reduces the relative carbon “credit” of PV alone versus SAP10-era factors and strengthens the case for high-efficiency heat pumps and fabric.

Why it matters: To hit carbon targets cost-effectively, prioritise fabric efficiency + heat pump performance; treat PV as part of a balanced strategy rather than the primary decarbonisation lever.

3) WWHR is explicitly recognised in the notional

WWHR features in Option 1 (typical efficiency ~50% in the notional), signalling the growing importance of domestic hot water loads in well-insulated homes.

Why it matters: For homes with high occupancy and shower frequency, WWHR can materially improve compliance margins and running costs when paired with a heat pump.

4) Half-hourly simulation enables smarter, more realistic modelling

HEM replaces monthly profiles with half-hourly simulation, improving representation of heat pump COP variability, thermal storage, and time-of-use tariffs. This better captures flexibility and interactions between systems.

Why it matters: Designs that use load shifting, weather compensation, and cylinders/buffers will be rewarded more transparently supporting both compliance and operational cost outcomes.

5) More granular inputs and product-level performance

Expect more specific inputs (e.g., bedrooms, wet rooms, system details) and assessments referencing a HEM Product Characteristics Database (PCDB) for consistent, real-world product performance.

Why it matters: Early manufacturer engagement and validated performance data become critical to avoid rework at gateway stages.

6) Practical design implications for your next scheme

  • Airtightness matters: the notional differentiates airtightness (e.g., 4 vs 5 m³/m²·h @50Pa between options), so set realistic, testable targets with contractors.
  • High-rise PV nuance: Notional removes PV on residential blocks >15 storeys—plan compliance via fabric, heat pump performance and WWHR.
  • Part O interplay: Cooling/overheating modelling interacts with fabric and glazing choices—optimise early to avoid last-minute compromises.

The Bottom line

HEM moves compliance from a tick-box, monthly average to a dynamic, system-level view. Teams that integrate heat pumps, hot-water recovery, fabric performance and load flexibility from RIBA Stages 1–3 will find it easier to evidence sustainability in construction, achieve compliance margins, and deliver lower bills and emissions in use.

Major impacts on SAP

Heat pumps replace gas boilers

Fossil‑fuel heating will no longer meet compliance. The FHS consultation proposes that no fossil‑fuel or biofuel heating systems will be allowed in new homes. Heat pumps (air or ground source) become the default for space and hot‑water heating. Darren Evans’ net‑zero consultancy warns that as the grid decarbonises, electric heating and heat pumps will be twice as effective at cutting carbon as PV panels.

Waste‑water heat recovery (WWHR)

Under SAP 10.3 and the FHS, WWHR is one of the most cost‑effective measures to improve hot‑water efficiency. Research cited by the WWHR supplier Showersave shows that integrating WWHR with heat pumps can reduce hot‑water energy use by up to 55 % and cut electricity bills by £150–£200 per year. WWHR reduces the size of hot‑water cylinders, saving space and material costs. It also eases pressure on the electricity grid. In the FHS notional building, Option 1 includes WWHR alongside a heat pump and PV.

Solar PV

Solar PV will remain a key part of sustainability in construction, but its relative carbon benefit is falling as the grid decarbonises. The consultation suggests coverage of around 40% of foundation area for side-lit spaces and 75% for top-lit spaces in non-domestic buildings. For dwellings, PV is increasingly paired with heat pumps, and while not yet officially mandatory, many in the industry anticipate a “sunshine bill” approach where PV becomes unavoidable. Developers should integrate PV as part of a balanced strategy, not rely on it as the sole compliance measure.

Stricter U‑value backstops and fabric standards

The Future Homes Standard (FHS) is expected to build on Part L 2021, with tighter limits on air permeability and stronger emphasis on low U-values across floors, walls, roofs, windows and doors. While the consultation indicates that backstop values may be reduced further, the exact figures are not yet confirmed. It is also likely that reliance on generic psi values will be phased out, requiring designers to calculate bespoke thermal bridge values. For now, the direction of travel is clear: achieving sustainability in construction will demand better fabric performance and early coordination of details.

Ventilation and airtightness

As the Future Homes Standard tightens air permeability targets, the focus shifts from design intent to site delivery. Achieving lower air test scores will require site teams to build with greater precision and consistency. This makes ventilation strategy a critical decision: while MEV and DMEV can be modelled with product-specific fan powers, and MVHR offers heat recovery benefits, none of these systems will perform as intended unless the underlying airtightness is achieved on site. Natural ventilation alone is unlikely to be viable in such airtight homes, reinforcing the importance of buildability and quality assurance throughout construction..

Design implications and actionable tips

  1. Plan early for orientation and passive design. The FHS emphasises fabric first and low‑carbon systems. A well‑orientated building can maximise solar gain for warmth in winter and minimise overheating. Early modelling using SAP or the forthcoming Home Energy Model will reveal whether south‑facing glazing or shading is needed, and whether your roof can accommodate the required PV coverage. Starting a conversation early with a SAP assessor – like those at Darren Evans – helps avoid costly redesigns.
  2. Choose the right heating and hot‑water system. Heat pumps are the default choice; decide early whether to use air‑source or ground‑source. Consider pairing the heat pump with WWHR to reduce hot‑water demand. For blocks of flats, low‑carbon heat networks may be more appropriate.
  3. Use bespoke psi values and thermal modelling. Generic psi values and Accredited Construction Details (ACDs) are being removed, meaning you must calculate bespoke psi values or use manufacturer‑provided values to represent heat‑loss junctions. Darren Evans offers psi‑value modelling and thermal bridging analysis through its SAP calculation service.
  4. Opt for DMEV or MVHR instead of basic extract fans. Decentralised Mechanical Extract Ventilation allows specific fan powers to be modelled, improving efficiency. MVHR can recover heat but requires careful commissioning and maintenance. Ensure ventilation strategies align with the required air‑permeability target.
  5. Address condensation and fabric detailing. Darren Evans’ U‑values guide reminds designers to place the vapour control layer on the warm side of insulation and to avoid double lines of insulation that can create lukewarm surfaces. Pay attention to rain‑screen brackets and thermal breaks to reduce thermal bridging.
  6. Consider embodied carbon. As operational emissions fall, embodied carbon becomes more significant. Choose lower‑carbon materials and consider whole‑life carbon assessments early in design. Darren Evans’ net‑zero consultancy can help you assess embodied carbon and explore alternatives.

Transitional arrangements and timelines

  • 2025 (summer). Final response to the FHS consultation published; legislation laid before Parliament in December.
  • 2026 (December). Legislation comes into effect. SAP 10.3 and the Home Energy Model become available.
  • 2026–2027. Transitional period. Sites registered before December 2026 have until December 2027 to commence construction and may continue to use Part L 2021 regulations.
  • From January 2027. Plots registered from this point must comply with the FHS.
  • January 2028. Full enforcement of the Future Homes Standard begins; all new homes must meet the FHS.

These dates may shift slightly depending on legislative processes, but the broad outline signals that anyone with projects starting in late 2026 or beyond should be designing to the FHS now.

How Darren Evans can help

Darren Evans has been guiding developers and designers through Part L and SAP changes since the 2000s. As a trusted partner in the industry, they play a key role in supporting clients to enhance energy efficiency and adapt to evolving standards. The transition to the Future Homes Standard and HEM will require more modelling and technical input than ever. Here’s how their services align with the challenges outlined above:

  • SAP calculations and compliance modelling. Darren Evans’ SAP calculations service will ensure that your designs meet current Part L requirements and are future‑ready. Their assessors can model options using SAP 10.2 now and advise how those designs will perform under SAP 10.3/HEM. The service emphasises bespoke psi values, waste‑water heat recovery and DMEV, all of which are critical under the FHS.
  • U‑value and thermal bridge analysis. Their U‑value service clarifies which U‑values are needed, assesses condensation risk and advises on rainscreen detailing. This will help you meet stricter fabric standards and avoid unexpected thermal performance issues.
  • BRUKL vs BREL advice. Not sure whether your project needs SBEM calculations or SAP? Darren Evans’ blog explains the difference between BRUKL (non‑domestic) and BREL (domestic) reports: BRUKL is generated from SBEM calculations and applies to non‑domestic buildings, while BREL is the new Part L report for dwellings and requires photographic evidence of insulation continuity. Their consultants can produce both reports and advise on compliance pathways.
  • Net‑zero and whole‑life carbon consultancy. Through the net‑zero in construction consultancy, Darren Evans helps clients define what net‑zero means for their project, model carbon and cost trade‑offs, and plan for long‑term compliance. The service highlights the diminishing returns of simply adding insulation and promotes a balanced approach across fabric, systems and renewable technologies.
  • Broader sustainability advice. For strategic questions about embodied carbon, Passivhaus, overheating, thermal modelling and circular economy, Darren Evans offers a range of services that complement SAP and FHS compliance. Their blog and white papers cover topics from timber construction to indoor air quality.

Darren Evans helps clients stay ahead of regulatory changes and industry standards, ensuring they remain competitive and compliant as the industry evolves.

Conclusion

The Future Homes Standard is not just a tweak to the building regulations; it is a wholesale shift toward zero‑carbon‑ready dwellings. Developers who start planning now—integrating heat pumps, waste‑water heat recovery, airtight fabric and smart ventilation—will be ready for the new regulations and will deliver homes that are comfortable, cost‑effective and future‑proof. Those who delay may find themselves scrambling to redesign projects when the transitional period expires.

Darren Evans stands ready to help. By combining technical rigour with real‑world pragmatism, their consultants can guide you through SAP calculations today and prepare you for the complex modelling demands of SAP 11 and the Home Energy Model tomorrow. Get in touch early, and together you can build homes that meet the 2025 standard and beyond.


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